Press Esc to close
Saturday 01 October 2016
News updated at 2:20 AM IST
Weather
Max: 29.4°C
Min : 21.4°C
In Bengaluru
Generally cloudy

South Asia faces several shocks; India better placed: US report

Washington, Dec 11, 2012 (IANS)

South Asia faces a series of internal and external shocks during the next 15-20 years with India alone in a better position to face them thanks to its higher growth, according to a new US intelligence assessment.

"The neighbourhood has always had a profound influence on internal developments, increasing the sense of insecurity and bolstering military outlays," says the report "Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds," by the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, the apex body of 16 US intelligence agencies.

"Conflict could erupt and spread under numerous scenarios," says the fifth instalment in the US National Intelligence Council's series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future released here Monday.

"Conflicting strategic goals, widespread distrust, and the hedging strategies by all the parties will make it difficult for them to develop a strong regional security framework," it said.

"Low growth, rising food prices, and energy shortages will pose stiff challenges to governance in Pakistan and Afghanistan," the report said.

"Afghanistan's and Pakistan's youth bulges are large - similar in size to those found in many African countries. When these youth bulges are combined with a slow-growing economy, they portend increased instability," it noted.

However, "India is in a better position, benefiting from higher growth, but it will still be challenged to find jobs for its large youth population. Inequality, lack of infrastructure, and education deficiencies are key weaknesses in India," it said.

An increasingly multipolar Asia lacking a well-anchored regional security framework able to arbitrate and mitigate rising tensions would constitute one of the largest global threats, the report said.

"Fear of Chinese power, the likelihood of growing Chinese nationalism, and possible questions about the US remaining involved in the region will increase insecurities," it suggested.

"An unstable Asia would cause large-scale damage to the global economy. Changing dynamics in other regions would also jeopardize global security," it said.

The Middle East, South Asia, and Sub-Saharan, which start from a relatively low base of economic and political gender parity, will continue to lag other regions, it said. Several regions - the Middle East and South Asia - appear particularly susceptible to outbreaks of large-scale violence despite the costs to themselves and others, the report said.


Go to Top

Photo Gallery
A hair stylist Kailash Kashid creates a special hair cut slogan of Maratha Kranti Morcha...

A hair stylist Kailash Kashid creates a special hair cut slogan of Maratha Kranti Morcha...

Actor Salman Khan plays with his sister Arpita's kid at an event for the tie-up between...

Actor Salman Khan plays with his sister Arpita's kid at an event for the tie-up between...

Artisans work on a giant model of Hindu god Ganesh during preparations for the upcoming Durga Puja..

Artisans work on a giant model of Hindu god Ganesh during preparations for the upcoming Durga Puja..

The palace witnessed very little visitors on the day and thus children enjoy playing at the...

The palace witnessed very little visitors on the day and thus children enjoy playing at the...

Temples submerged at Gwari Ghat due to floods caused in Narmada River by heavy rains...

Temples submerged at Gwari Ghat due to floods caused in Narmada River by heavy rains...

Indian Army vehicles move towards border areas in Akhnoor sector on India Pakistan Border...

Indian Army vehicles move towards border areas in Akhnoor sector on India Pakistan Border...

BJP activists celebrate the Indian army's Surgical strikes along the Line of Control in PoK...

BJP activists celebrate the Indian army's Surgical strikes along the Line of Control in PoK...

all-party meeting in New Delhi on Thursday following Indian army's surgical strikes along the LoC...

all-party meeting in New Delhi on Thursday following Indian army's surgical strikes along the LoC...

People celebrate after Indian army's Surgical strikes along the Line of Control...

People celebrate after Indian army's Surgical strikes along the Line of Control...

Artists practice the Garba dance ahead of the Navratri festival in Ahmedabad...

Artists practice the Garba dance ahead of the Navratri festival in Ahmedabad...

Copyright 2014, The Printers (Mysore) Private Ltd., 75, M.G Road, Post Box 5331, Bengaluru - 560001
Tel: +91 (80) 25880000 Fax No. +91 (80) 25880523