Press Esc to close
Tuesday 30 September 2014
News updated at 11:23 PM IST
Weather
Max: 31°C
Min : 21°C
In Bangalore
Sunny day

If policy status quo remains,rupee could touch 75/USD: BofA-ML

New Delhi, Aug 29 , 2013 (PTI)

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will have to take far more pro-active steps to rebuild forex reserves, because if the status quo remains, rupee could touch 75 per US dollar by the end of 2014, Bank of America Merrill Lynch said in a report today.

According to the global financial services firm, the collapse of rupee is likely "overdone" but that said "INR expectations are racing to Rs 70/USD (and now, even Rs 75/USD)."
If the status quo remains, BofA-ML said  "a conservative estimate is USD/INR goes to 70 year-end and 75 by-end 2014 based on NDF forward pricing."

NDF deals are forward transactions settled in dollars because the rupee, being a non-convertible currency, cannot be 'delivered' outside India.


The rupee yesterday had collapsed to a lifetime low of 68.85 against the dollar and closed at 68.80, registering its biggest single-day loss of 256 paise, as global oil prices jumped, deepening concerns about the current account deficit and capital outflows.

The rupee today however, recovered from its all-time low by rising 170 paise to 67.10 against the dollar in early trade on fresh selling of the US currency by exporters and banks amid fresh measures announced by the RBI to check free-fall of the currency.

RBI yesterday opened a special window to help the three state-owned oil marketing companies needing about USD 8.5 billion every month meet their daily foreign exchange requirement in a bid to check the rupee's free fall.

"We welcome yesterday's initiatives to provide RBI swaps to fund oil imports and seek swap lines against trade arrangements as short-term relief. Yet, to stabilise INR expectations, we believe that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will have to take far more pro-active steps to rebuild FX reserves," the report said.

The RBI should launch a scheme to attract significant forex inflows where the INR risk would be borne by the RBI to comfort investor confidence like issue of NRI or sovereign bonds or reviving FCNRA deposits.

"We ourselves estimate that the RBI would be hard pressed to sell USD 25 billion, and every US Dollar sold will likely only raise further questions about the adequacy of forex reserves," the report noted.

Go to Top

Photo Gallery
Players of Kerala Blaster football team pose for a group photo with Kathakali Dancers in Thrissur ..

Players of Kerala Blaster football team pose for a group photo with Kathakali Dancers in Thrissur ..

Barack Obama and Narendra Modi, at the dinner hosted in his honour, at the White House ...

Barack Obama and Narendra Modi, at the dinner hosted in his honour, at the White House ...

Actors Vikram and Karthi participating in a fast to protest Jayalalithaa's conviction ...

Actors Vikram and Karthi participating in a fast to protest Jayalalithaa's conviction ...

Lahore Lions skipper Muhammad Hafeez is bowled during the Champions League Twenty 20 ...

Lahore Lions skipper Muhammad Hafeez is bowled during the Champions League Twenty 20 ...

Congress Vice President Rahul Gandhi provides relief packages to a flood victim in Jammu ...

Congress Vice President Rahul Gandhi provides relief packages to a flood victim in Jammu ...

Modi waves to supporters  in front of the Indian Embassy in Washington ...

Modi waves to supporters in front of the Indian Embassy in Washington ...

People enjoy a sheep fight in Hubli, Karnataka ...

People enjoy a sheep fight in Hubli, Karnataka ...

Chief Minister of Assam Tarun Gogoi interacts with flood victims at a relief camp at Boko ...

Chief Minister of Assam Tarun Gogoi interacts with flood victims at a relief camp at Boko ...

Products made out of waste materials by the students of a college in Rohtak ...

Products made out of waste materials by the students of a college in Rohtak ...

India's Sunil Vitalacharya Sowmarpet and Akashdeep Singh celebrate their victory over South Korea ..

India's Sunil Vitalacharya Sowmarpet and Akashdeep Singh celebrate their victory over South Korea ..

Copyright 2014, The Printers (Mysore) Private Ltd., 75, M.G Road, Post Box 5331, Bangalore - 560001
Tel: +91 (80) 25880000 Fax No. +91 (80) 25880523