Press Esc to close
Tuesday 22 August 2017
News updated at 2:35 PM IST

Monsoon may hit Kerala by June 5

New Delhi, May 15, 2014, DHNS: 2:18 IST
The southwest monsoon is likely to hit the Kerala coast by June 5, the Indian Meteorological Department announced on Thursday. PTI file photo
The southwest monsoon is likely to hit the Kerala coast by June 5, the Indian Meteorological Department announced on Thursday.

As the onset date comes with an error margin of four days on either side, the monsoon’s entry into the mainland may happen anytime in the first week of June. The normal date for monsoon onset in Kerala is June 1.

“Monsoon is expected in the Andaman and Nicobar islands by May 20. Afterwards, it will be a little delayed,” Pune-based monsoon forecaster Shivanand Pai told Deccan Herald. The date is predicted based on a six-parameter statistical model.

The weather agency also said conditions have become favourable for advance of southwest monsoon over south Andaman sea and southeast Bay of Bengal in the next 48 hours. “The subsequent delay is a minor one,” said another IMD scientist.

Last month, the IMD forecast “below-normal” monsoon in 2014 as the expected precipitation is 95 per cent of the average rainfall. The forecast will be upgraded in June, taking into account the progress made in the march of monsoon over the landmass.

El Nino effect


The culprit behind the sub-normal forecast is El Nino — an unusual warming of the Pacific Ocean — which influences weather all over the world.

Even though there was 60 per cent probability of El Nino adversely affecting the monsoon, the El Nino conditions might become even more serious later as the depth of warm water is increasing, said a scientist. As most of India lacks irrigation, monsoon is a major hope for farmers, who rely on the rain for better farm yield. A sub-normal monsoon can reduce agriculture production.

In the last nine years, the onset of south west monsoon was most delayed in 2005 when it came on June 7 followed by 2012 when Kerala coast experienced the rain on June 5. Otherwise, monsoon came mostly in the last week of May.

Go to Top

Photo Gallery
Bollywood actors Jacqueline Fernandez and Aditya Roy Kapur walk the ramp during the grand finale...

Bollywood actors Jacqueline Fernandez and Aditya Roy Kapur walk the ramp during the grand finale...

Artists rest at an artisan village in Kolkata on Monday ahead of upcoming Durga Puja...

Artists rest at an artisan village in Kolkata on Monday ahead of upcoming Durga Puja...

Devotees gather to take holy dip at Har ki Paidi on the occasion of Somvati Amavasaya in...

Devotees gather to take holy dip at Har ki Paidi on the occasion of Somvati Amavasaya in...

MD and CEO, Mercedes-Benz India, Roland Folger and AMG driver Christian Hohenadel during the...

MD and CEO, Mercedes-Benz India, Roland Folger and AMG driver Christian Hohenadel during the...

Indian women's cricket team member Veda Krishnamurthy being felicitated by CII Sourthern Region...

Indian women's cricket team member Veda Krishnamurthy being felicitated by CII Sourthern Region...

A view of Salt Lake Stadium, officially known as Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan being...

A view of Salt Lake Stadium, officially known as Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan being...

The Golden Temple being decorated with flowers on the eve of the anniversary of the installation...

The Golden Temple being decorated with flowers on the eve of the anniversary of the installation...

Villagers use a makeshift bamboo bridge to cross a flooded locality at Itahar village in...

Villagers use a makeshift bamboo bridge to cross a flooded locality at Itahar village in...

web series Netflix's Sacred Games in...

web series Netflix's Sacred Games in...

A butterfly on a flower at a park in Guwahati on...

A butterfly on a flower at a park in Guwahati on...

Like us on Facebook

Copyright 2017, The Printers (Mysore) Private Ltd., 75, M.G Road, Post Box 5331, Bengaluru - 560001
Tel: +91 (80) 25880000 Fax No. +91 (80) 25880523
Powered by Yodasoft Technologies Pvt. Ltd.