Press Esc to close
Monday 28 July 2014
News updated at 9:42 AM IST
Weather
Max: 0°C
Min : 0°C
In Bangalore
Sunny day

Monsoon may hit Kerala by June 5

New Delhi, May 15, 2014, DHNS:
The southwest monsoon is likely to hit the Kerala coast by June 5, the Indian Meteorological Department announced on Thursday. PTI file photo

The southwest monsoon is likely to hit the Kerala coast by June 5, the Indian Meteorological Department announced on Thursday.

As the onset date comes with an error margin of four days on either side, the monsoon’s entry into the mainland may happen anytime in the first week of June. The normal date for monsoon onset in Kerala is June 1.

“Monsoon is expected in the Andaman and Nicobar islands by May 20. Afterwards, it will be a little delayed,” Pune-based monsoon forecaster Shivanand Pai told Deccan Herald. The date is predicted based on a six-parameter statistical model.

The weather agency also said conditions have become favourable for advance of southwest monsoon over south Andaman sea and southeast Bay of Bengal in the next 48 hours. “The subsequent delay is a minor one,” said another IMD scientist.


Last month, the IMD forecast “below-normal” monsoon in 2014 as the expected precipitation is 95 per cent of the average rainfall. The forecast will be upgraded in June, taking into account the progress made in the march of monsoon over the landmass.

El Nino effect


The culprit behind the sub-normal forecast is El Nino — an unusual warming of the Pacific Ocean — which influences weather all over the world.

Even though there was 60 per cent probability of El Nino adversely affecting the monsoon, the El Nino conditions might become even more serious later as the depth of warm water is increasing, said a scientist. As most of India lacks irrigation, monsoon is a major hope for farmers, who rely on the rain for better farm yield. A sub-normal monsoon can reduce agriculture production.

In the last nine years, the onset of south west monsoon was most delayed in 2005 when it came on June 7 followed by 2012 when Kerala coast experienced the rain on June 5. Otherwise, monsoon came mostly in the last week of May.

Go to Top

Photo Gallery
Force India Formula One driver Sergio Perez sits in his car after a crash during the Hungarian F1...

Force India Formula One driver Sergio Perez sits in his car after a crash during the Hungarian F1...

Cars burnt in clashes between two communities a day before is being removed by crane...

Cars burnt in clashes between two communities a day before is being removed by crane...

Renovation work being carried out by the NDMC at the Lodhi Garden in New Delhi...

Renovation work being carried out by the NDMC at the Lodhi Garden in New Delhi...

A man holds an umbrella as he rides a bicycle through a street during monsoon rains in Mumba....

A man holds an umbrella as he rides a bicycle through a street during monsoon rains in Mumba....

Flooded street duirng the continue rain in Mumbai...

Flooded street duirng the continue rain in Mumbai...

A boy sits on his handmade raft as he collects floating recyclable material in the waters...

A boy sits on his handmade raft as he collects floating recyclable material in the waters...

Muslims shout slogans during a demonstration to protest against Israeli airstrikes on Gaza strip...

Muslims shout slogans during a demonstration to protest against Israeli airstrikes on Gaza strip...

Muslims throng a marketplace near the Jama Mosque illuminated during the holy month of Ramadan...

Muslims throng a marketplace near the Jama Mosque illuminated during the holy month of Ramadan...

Shoppers crowd at a market ahead of the Eid al-Fitr festival in Ahmedabad. The Eid al-Fitr...

Shoppers crowd at a market ahead of the Eid al-Fitr festival in Ahmedabad. The Eid al-Fitr...

Muslims prepare plates of food for an Iftar (breaking of fast) meal, inside a mosque during the...

Muslims prepare plates of food for an Iftar (breaking of fast) meal, inside a mosque during the...

Copyright 2014, The Printers (Mysore) Private Ltd., 75, M.G Road, Post Box 5331, Bangalore - 560001
Tel: +91 (80) 25880000 Fax No. +91 (80) 25880523