Press Esc to close
Wednesday 28 January 2015
News updated at 2:42 PM IST
Weather
Max: 27.9°C
Min : 15.2°C
In Bengaluru
Partially cloudy

Monsoon may hit Kerala by June 5

New Delhi, May 15, 2014, DHNS:
The southwest monsoon is likely to hit the Kerala coast by June 5, the Indian Meteorological Department announced on Thursday. PTI file photo

The southwest monsoon is likely to hit the Kerala coast by June 5, the Indian Meteorological Department announced on Thursday.

As the onset date comes with an error margin of four days on either side, the monsoon’s entry into the mainland may happen anytime in the first week of June. The normal date for monsoon onset in Kerala is June 1.

“Monsoon is expected in the Andaman and Nicobar islands by May 20. Afterwards, it will be a little delayed,” Pune-based monsoon forecaster Shivanand Pai told Deccan Herald. The date is predicted based on a six-parameter statistical model.

The weather agency also said conditions have become favourable for advance of southwest monsoon over south Andaman sea and southeast Bay of Bengal in the next 48 hours. “The subsequent delay is a minor one,” said another IMD scientist.

Last month, the IMD forecast “below-normal” monsoon in 2014 as the expected precipitation is 95 per cent of the average rainfall. The forecast will be upgraded in June, taking into account the progress made in the march of monsoon over the landmass.

El Nino effect


The culprit behind the sub-normal forecast is El Nino — an unusual warming of the Pacific Ocean — which influences weather all over the world.

Even though there was 60 per cent probability of El Nino adversely affecting the monsoon, the El Nino conditions might become even more serious later as the depth of warm water is increasing, said a scientist. As most of India lacks irrigation, monsoon is a major hope for farmers, who rely on the rain for better farm yield. A sub-normal monsoon can reduce agriculture production.

In the last nine years, the onset of south west monsoon was most delayed in 2005 when it came on June 7 followed by 2012 when Kerala coast experienced the rain on June 5. Otherwise, monsoon came mostly in the last week of May.


Go to Top

Photo Gallery
A MiG-27 of the Indian Air Force (IAF) crashes in Barmer district in Rajasthan on Tuesday...

A MiG-27 of the Indian Air Force (IAF) crashes in Barmer district in Rajasthan on Tuesday...

Goods trucks waits on Srinagar-Jammu National Highway during fresh snowfall...

Goods trucks waits on Srinagar-Jammu National Highway during fresh snowfall...

Indian and Chinese army officials standing near a rangoli, made on the occasion of Republic Day...

Indian and Chinese army officials standing near a rangoli, made on the occasion of Republic Day...

Barack Obama and Michelle Obama meet with nobel laureate Kailash Satyarthi and his wife Sumedha...

Barack Obama and Michelle Obama meet with nobel laureate Kailash Satyarthi and his wife Sumedha...

Cartoonist R K Laxman being accorded state funeral in Pune on Tuesday...

Cartoonist R K Laxman being accorded state funeral in Pune on Tuesday...

Barack Obama and  Michelle Obama greet people as they board Air Force One at Air Force Station...

Barack Obama and Michelle Obama greet people as they board Air Force One at Air Force Station...

Services' bands perform during the rehearsal for Beating Retreat ceremony in New Delhi...

Services' bands perform during the rehearsal for Beating Retreat ceremony in New Delhi...

India's BSF soldiers ride camels as they rehearse for 'Beating the Retreat' ceremony in New Delhi...

India's BSF soldiers ride camels as they rehearse for 'Beating the Retreat' ceremony in New Delhi...

Barack Obama and PM Narendra Modi recording 'Mann Ki Baat' show in New Delhi...

Barack Obama and PM Narendra Modi recording 'Mann Ki Baat' show in New Delhi...

Barack Obama and Michelle Obama stand with Saudi Arabia's King Salman...

Barack Obama and Michelle Obama stand with Saudi Arabia's King Salman...

Copyright 2014, The Printers (Mysore) Private Ltd., 75, M.G Road, Post Box 5331, Bengaluru - 560001
Tel: +91 (80) 25880000 Fax No. +91 (80) 25880523