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During the second quarter of 2009, RICS surveyed members and other real estate executives in 27 countries across the globe to ascertain the volume of distressed sales in the commercial property market. Respondents in 75 per cent of the countries surveyed reported an increase in distressed sales compared to three months earlier. The biggest pick up in distressed sales was reported in South Africa, followed by the US, New Zealand, Malaysia and Hungary with the Caribbean, Ireland, Spain, Russia and the Ukraine making up the remainder of the top ten.
Senior economist of RICS Oliver Gilmartin said, “The number of distressed properties coming to the market rose across every global region in the second quarter although record low interest rates may be limiting the pain for some landlords. Falling rents and rising corporate bankruptcies are likely to increase the incidence of distressed properties in the coming quarters as problems for landlords in meeting income covenants pick up and refinancing costs remain elevated. As such, transaction activity in distressed properties is certainly set to rise in 2010 as interest from specialist funds gains traction.”
Members of RICS work on both sides of any distressed property transaction. Consequently, the survey asked surveyors whether the level of interest from specialist funds in distressed properties was increasing. Unsurprisingly, the majority of agents are reporting a rise in specialist funds expressing interest in distressed commercial properties. Those markets at the forefront include Italy and the UK, with Germany, US, Hungary, Spain and Ireland closely behind. One obvious reason for current interest must undoubtedly be the scale of property price declines which have occurred in some of these markets since the onset of the credit crunch drawing bargain hunters in. Property yields, compared to other asset classes, are starting to offer value in some markets when compared to historical averages.