<p>These views were expressed on the eve of US President Barack Obama's China visit Nov 15-18 where climate change is expected to figure on the agenda between Obama and Chinese President Hu Jintao, Xinhua news agency quoted these experts as saying. <br /><br />"The world's two largest greenhouse gas (GHG) emitters will reiterate their own stances on combating global warming, which is good for long-term global talks," said Qi Ye, a climate policy expert from Tsinghua University. <br />"But I don't think China and the US will agree a deal on targets for emissions' reductions during Obama's visit. Neither do I believe any deal with specific targets will come from the Copenhagen talks," he added. <br /><br />Leaders from about 190 countries will attend the 15th Conference of the Parties of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) from Dec 7 to 18 in Copenhagen, Denmark. The meeting is expected to renew GHG emissions' reduction targets set by the UNFCCC Kyoto Protocol, which is to expire in 2012.<br />The Kyoto Protocol, never ratified by the US, has binding targets for 37 developed countries for reducing the GHG emissions. Developing countries are not obliged to accept any target. <br /><br />"China has strictly obeyed the UNFCCC and Kyoto Protocol, and has also been making huge efforts to fight global warming," Qi said. <br />The Chinese president had promised September at a UN climate summit in New York that his country would be cutting CO2 emissions per unit of GDP by "a notable margin" by 2020 from the 2005-levels. <br /><br />Obama has said he wants to cut emissions from US back to 1990-levels by 2020 and 80 percent further by 2050, but the US Congress is yet to pass such a legislation. <br />Robert Stavins, director of the Harvard Project on International Climate Agreements, said the meeting of Hu and Obama would certainly facilitate mutual understanding on climate change issues. <br /><br />China and the US signed a memorandum of understanding encouraging the cooperation on climate change and cleaner energy in July. <br />But it appeared that US Congress was unlikely to complete the legislation by the time of Copenhagen summit due to great political challenges in the midst of a recession with high unemployment and other domestic priorities, Stavins said in an e-mail interview. <br /><br />"There have been dramatic changes in the political climate for climate change policy in the US since President Obama took office. The timing, however, is difficult for Copenhagen," Stavins said. <br /><br />US top negotiator Jonathan Pershing said in October that it would be difficult to pledge an emission control target without the Congress legislation. <br />With the commitments from the world's largest economy, which is far from being certain, and other key issues unresolved after two years of talks, a new pact to combat global warming is a forlorn hope for Copenhagen, experts said. <br />The last negotiations before the Copenhagen conference concluded Nov 6 in Barcelona, Spain. <br /><br />UNFCCC executive secretary Yvo de Boer said there that little progress had been made on developed countries' targets for mid-term emissions' reduction and financing for developing countries to limit their emissions and adapt to climate change effects. <br /><br />Back in 2007, the UNFCCC had outlined four aspects of coordinated efforts: climate change mitigation, adaptation, financing and technology support. The 2007 declaration in Bali, Indonesia, was set to propose a "road map" for forging a new treaty in Copenhagen. <br /><br />"It takes time to agree a new treaty. At least all countries will fully express their willingness to make efforts in December. First it has to be certain that the Copenhagen talks won't collapse," Qi said. <br /></p>
<p>These views were expressed on the eve of US President Barack Obama's China visit Nov 15-18 where climate change is expected to figure on the agenda between Obama and Chinese President Hu Jintao, Xinhua news agency quoted these experts as saying. <br /><br />"The world's two largest greenhouse gas (GHG) emitters will reiterate their own stances on combating global warming, which is good for long-term global talks," said Qi Ye, a climate policy expert from Tsinghua University. <br />"But I don't think China and the US will agree a deal on targets for emissions' reductions during Obama's visit. Neither do I believe any deal with specific targets will come from the Copenhagen talks," he added. <br /><br />Leaders from about 190 countries will attend the 15th Conference of the Parties of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) from Dec 7 to 18 in Copenhagen, Denmark. The meeting is expected to renew GHG emissions' reduction targets set by the UNFCCC Kyoto Protocol, which is to expire in 2012.<br />The Kyoto Protocol, never ratified by the US, has binding targets for 37 developed countries for reducing the GHG emissions. Developing countries are not obliged to accept any target. <br /><br />"China has strictly obeyed the UNFCCC and Kyoto Protocol, and has also been making huge efforts to fight global warming," Qi said. <br />The Chinese president had promised September at a UN climate summit in New York that his country would be cutting CO2 emissions per unit of GDP by "a notable margin" by 2020 from the 2005-levels. <br /><br />Obama has said he wants to cut emissions from US back to 1990-levels by 2020 and 80 percent further by 2050, but the US Congress is yet to pass such a legislation. <br />Robert Stavins, director of the Harvard Project on International Climate Agreements, said the meeting of Hu and Obama would certainly facilitate mutual understanding on climate change issues. <br /><br />China and the US signed a memorandum of understanding encouraging the cooperation on climate change and cleaner energy in July. <br />But it appeared that US Congress was unlikely to complete the legislation by the time of Copenhagen summit due to great political challenges in the midst of a recession with high unemployment and other domestic priorities, Stavins said in an e-mail interview. <br /><br />"There have been dramatic changes in the political climate for climate change policy in the US since President Obama took office. The timing, however, is difficult for Copenhagen," Stavins said. <br /><br />US top negotiator Jonathan Pershing said in October that it would be difficult to pledge an emission control target without the Congress legislation. <br />With the commitments from the world's largest economy, which is far from being certain, and other key issues unresolved after two years of talks, a new pact to combat global warming is a forlorn hope for Copenhagen, experts said. <br />The last negotiations before the Copenhagen conference concluded Nov 6 in Barcelona, Spain. <br /><br />UNFCCC executive secretary Yvo de Boer said there that little progress had been made on developed countries' targets for mid-term emissions' reduction and financing for developing countries to limit their emissions and adapt to climate change effects. <br /><br />Back in 2007, the UNFCCC had outlined four aspects of coordinated efforts: climate change mitigation, adaptation, financing and technology support. The 2007 declaration in Bali, Indonesia, was set to propose a "road map" for forging a new treaty in Copenhagen. <br /><br />"It takes time to agree a new treaty. At least all countries will fully express their willingness to make efforts in December. First it has to be certain that the Copenhagen talks won't collapse," Qi said. <br /></p>