Exit polls predict BJP win in UP, Ukhand, Goa, loss in Punjab.

Exit polls predict BJP win in UP, Ukhand, Goa, loss in Punjab.

The exit polls today predicted a hung assembly in the key Hindi heartland state of Uttar Pradesh where BJP would emerge as the largest single party, winning anywhere between 164 and 210 of the 403 seats.

Most polls also forecast a close fight between the Congress, which is seeking to return to power in Punjab after a hiatus of 10 years, and Arvind Kejriwal's AAP, making its debut in the assembly polls in the state.

They have predicted victory for BJP in Uttarakhand, but the saffron party, though likely to lead the table in Goa, was projected to fall short of a majority in the tiny coastal state.

Times Now-VMR poll forecast 190-210 seats for the BJP in the UP assembly, while India News-MRC gave it 185 and ABP- Lokniti CSDS 164-176 seats. If BJP wins UP, it would be a return to power for the party in the politically significant and volatile state after 15 years.

The three polls projected 110-130, 120 and 156-169 seats respectively for the Samajwadi Party-Congress alliance and 57-74, 90 and 60-72 seats for the Mayawati-led BSP.

India Today-Axis exit poll predicted 62-71 seats for the Congress in 117-member Punjab assembly, a comfortable majority, and 42-51 to Arvind Kejriwal-led AAP. The Shiromani Akali Dal-BJP combine was projected to be decimated in the state which it has ruled for a decade. All polls showed the alliance getting reduced to a single digit tally.

However, India TV-C Voter projected 59-67 seats for debutante AAP and 41-49 for the Congress. India News-MRC and News 24-Chanakya forecast a dead heat by giving 55 and 54 seats each to both parties.

BJP looked set to return to power in Uttarakhand, with India Today and News 24 projecting a comfortable majority for the party, giving it 46-53 and 53 seats respectively, in the 70-member House, way more than the halfway mark of 30.

However, India TV gave 29 and 35 seats to the two parties. India Today projected 18-22 seats for the BJP in 40-seat Goa assembly followed by the Congress with 9-13 seats. India TV predicted a hung assembly, projecting 15-21 seats for the BJP and 12-18 for the Congress.

In the NDTV poll of polls, an average of several exit polls, the BJP was projected to win 179 seats, the SP-Congress 136 and the BSP 77 seats in the country's largest state.

It forecast 55 seats for the Congress in Punjab, closely followed by the AAP with 54 seats. The incumbent Akali Dal-BJP alliance was predicted staring at a virtual decimation with only 7 seats in the 117-member assembly.

In Uttarakhand, it gave the BJP a majority with 43 seats followed by the ruling Congress with 23. In Manipur, it predicted a close fight between the ruling Congress and the BJP with the former getting 26 and the latter 24 in the 60-member assembly. Congress has been ruling the northeastern state for the last 15 years.

Here are the various exit poll predictions as of 7:35 PM


Uttar Pradesh

NDTV 
SP+Congress 136
BJP 179
BSP 77
 Others 11
India Today 
SP+Congress - 120
BJP - 185
BSP - 90
 Others 9
India News
BJP -155-167 SP+Congress - 135-147
BSP - 81-93
Others - 8-20


Uttarakhand

 NDTV
Congress - 23
BJP - 43
Others 4
 
 India Today
Congress - 12-21
BJP - 46-53
BSP -1-2
Others 1-4
 C-voter Congress -32 BJP -32
Others -5
 


Punjab

NDTV 
Congress -55
BJP + Akali Dal -7
AAP -54

Others -1
 
India Today 
Congress -62-71
BJP + Akali Dal -4-7
AAP -42-51
Others 0-2
C-Voter
Congress -45
BJP + Akali Dal -9
AAP -63
Others 0-2
Today’s Chanakya 
AAP+ -54 ± 9
Congress -54 ± 9
SAD-BJP -9 ± 5
Others 0 ± 2


Manipur

NDTV 
Congress -26 BJP -24


Others -10
 

C-voter Congress -20 BJP -28 Others -12
India TV 
Congress -17-23 BJP -25-31
Others -9-15


Goa

NDTV 
Congress -13 BJP -17 
AAP -4
Others -6
C-voter
Congress -12-18
BJP -15-21
 AAP -0-4 Others -2-8
India Today
 Congress -10 BJP -15
 AAP -7  Others -8

 

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