Assembly Elections 2026 Exit Poll Results highlights: Pollsters predict BJP sweep in Assam, edge in Bengal; DMK to retain TN, UDF to take Kerala

How accurate were 2021 exit polls

While the 2021 exit polls had rightly predicted BJP and DMK's victory in Assam and Tamil Nadu respectively, the pollsters had overestimated BJP's performance in Bengal as the TMC had won the polls by a huge margin.

Vijayan eyeing third term in Kerala

Kerala CM Pinarayi Vijayan

It is a direct fight between Vijayan-led LDF and UDF bloc in Kerala. Vijayan is seeking to make history by retaining power for the third consecutive term.

Vijay's TVK factor in Tamil Nadu

TVK founder Vijay

While Tamil Nadu is expected to have a close contest between DMK and AIADMK, debut of Vijay's TVK is likely to have a strong impact in the overall result.

BJP vs TMC in Bengal

TMC supremo and Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee and BJP leader Suvendu Adikari campaigning in Bhabanipur, Kolkata.

BJP had emerged as the main opposition party in Bengal after winning 77 of the 294 seats in 2021. It will be interesting to see how the saffron party performed in 2026.

Will Himanta retain power in Assam?

Assam CM Himanta Biswa Sarma

Himanta Biswa Sarma-led BJP is eyeing his third term in Assam, while Congress under the leadership of Gaurav Gogoi is hoping to make a comeback in the state.

Record voter turnout

People wait in queues to cast votes during the first phase of the West Bengal Assembly Elections 2026.

The 2026 Assembly polls witnessed record voter turnout in Assam (85.91%), Tamil Nadu (84.69%), West Bengal (first phase) (91.78%), Kerala (78.27%), Puducherry (89.87%). The voter turnout was highest ever for Assam, Bengal, Tamil Nadu and Puducherry.

Bengal registers 89.99% voter turnout till 5 pm in 142 seats during second phase of polling

"We believe in people's polls, not exit polls. We're all waiting for May 4th, and we'll see good results. We'll see good results in Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Assam, and West Bengal," Congress MP KC Venugopal says

Axis My India predicts BJP sweep in Assam

BJP: 88-100

Congress-24-36

Others: 0-3

People's Pulse predict easy win for DMK-INC+ alliance in Tamil Nadu

DMK-INC+: 125-145

NDA: 65-80

TVK: 18-24

Others: 2-6

Matrize also suggest comfortable victory for DMK-INC+ alliance in Tamil Nadu

DMK-INC+: 122-132

NDA: 87-100

TVK: 10-12

Others: 0-6

People's Pulse predict TMC's victory in Bengal

TMC: 177-187

BJP: 95-100

Congress: 1-3

Left: 0-1

Axis My India predicts UDF's victory in Kerala

UDF: 78-90

LDF: 49-62

NDA: 0-3

People's Pulse gives DMK upper hand in Tamil Nadu

DMK: 125-145

AIADMK: 65-80

TVK: 18-24

Others: 2-6

Latest predictions suggest BJP's victory in Bengal

JVC's predictions

BJP: 138-159

TMC: 131-152

Cong: 0-2

Others: 0-2

Chanakya Strategies also predict BJP's win in Bengal

BJP: 150-160

TMC: 130-140

Cong: 0

Others: 6-10

Poll Diary predicts massive BJP victory in Bengal

BJP: 142-171

TMC: 99-127

Cong: 0

Others: 5-9

People's Pulse for Puducherry

NRC+: 16-19

Cong: 10-12

TVK+: 0

Others: 1-2

Chanakya Strategies says DMK to win in TN

DMK: 145-160

NDA: 50-65

Others: 18-26

Another pollster P-Marq also says BJP to come to power in Bengal

BJP: 150-175

TMC: 118-138

Others: 2-6

BJP sweep in Assam, predicts Matrize

BJP: 85-95

Cong: 25-32

Others: 6-12

JVC predicts AIADMK's return in Tamil Nadu

AIADMK: 128-147

DMK: 75-95

TVK: 8-15

Others: 0

JVC's prediction on Kerala

UDF: 72-84

LDF: 52-61

NDA: 3-7

Others: 0

People's Pulse predictions on Kerala

UDF: 75-85

LDF: 55-65

NDA: 0-3

Others: 0

JVC predictions on Puducherry

NDA: 15-17

UPA: 11-13

TVK: 1-2

Others: 0-1

Axis My India predictions on Puducherry

NRC+: 16-20

Cong+: 6-8

TVK+: 1-2

Others: 1-3

Praja Polls predicts huge victory for BJP in Bengal

BJP: 178-208

TMC: 85-110

Others: 1

Matrize predicts BJP's victory over TMC

BJP: 146-161

TMC: 125-140

Others: 6-10

People's Pulse predictions on Assam

NDA: 68-72

Cong+: 22-26

AIUDF: 3-5

Poll Diary predictions on Assam

NDA: 86-101

Cong+: 15-26

AIUDF: 2-5

Others: 0-2

Janmat Polls predict massive victory for TMC in Bengal

TMC: 195-205

BJP: 80-90

Left Front+:0-1

Cong: 1-3

Others: 3-5

Kamakhya Analytics on Tamil Nadu

DMK: 78-95

NDA: 68-84

TVK: 67-81

Others: 0

P-Marq on Assam

NDA: 82-94

Cong: 30-40

AIUDF: 0

Others: 1-5

JVC on Assam

NDA: 88-101

Cong: 23-33

AIUDF: 2-5

Others: 0

Matrize on Kerala

UDF: 70-75

LDF: 60-65

NDA: 3-5

Others: 2-4

P-Marq on Kerala

UDF: 70-75

LDF: 60-65

NDA: 3-5

Others: 0

Axis My India puts Vijay's TVK as front-runner

TVK: 98-120

DMK+: 92-110

NDA: 22-32

Others: 0