Japan's premier may dissolve parliament by Friday

Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda said on Wednesday that he is prepared to dissolve the parliament by Friday, bringing an election within weeks, if Japan’s main opposition party agrees to key reforms.

Noda’s pledge, made during a heated parliamentary exchange with Liberal Democratic Party chief Shinzo Abe, drew protests from some lawmakers within his own party who are not keen to face a vote at a time when the economy is ailing and public approval ratings for Noda’s Cabinet have fallen below 20 per cent. If parliament is dissolved on Friday, elections would likely be held on December  9 or 16, public broadcaster NHK said. Under the Japanese constitution, general elections must be held within 40 days from the day parliament is dissolved.

The pledge to call elections highlights the gridlock that has paralyzed Japanese politics for years, hindering progress on reforms needed to help revitalize an economy on the brink of recession and revamp government finances to cope with a fast-aging population. An election would also pose a distraction at a time of acute antagonisms with China over a territorial dispute that have hurt Japanese exports to one of its biggest markets.

In recent days, Noda has said he would push for Japan to enter negotiations on various free-trade arrangements that many in Japan see as vital for reviving its stagnant economy. However, like other recent leaders, he appears to have run out of time: Japan has seen six prime ministers in the past six years.

“There’s a real failure of leadership. That’s in part because Japan’s expectations for leadership are unrealistic. But also because the quality of leadership in Japan is really low,” said Koichi Nakano, a professor of political science at Sophia University. The LDP has been pushing Noda to make good on a promise to call elections soon, but he has said lawmakers must first carry out reforms needed to make the vote constitutional. Those reforms would include shrinking the size of the lower house of parliament.

Noda said the legislature would also have to approve an urgently needed deficit financing bill.“We have to achieve that (parliamentary shrinkage) as soon as possible. We must to make a decision and set a deadline. I can dissolve parliament on Nov. 16. Let's do it,” Noda said during a one-on-one debate with Abe in the Diet, or parliament.

Abe said, “It’s a promise, a promise, right? So, you're sure. You are sure, right? If you dissolve the parliament on the 16th, we’ll let the people decide. We'll let the people decide which of us is better suited to get the country out of deflation and get the economic recovery back on track,” Abe retorted.

“I look forward to meeting you at the election battle," he added. Speaking after the session, Abe said his party had agreed to the promises he made. Chief Cabinet Secretary Osamu Fujimura likewise confirmed that Noda's comments were a pledge to dissolve parliament. The LDP has been leading in public opinion polls and is eager to hold elections and challenge the hold on power by Noda’s ruling Democratic Party of Japan.

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