As the BS Yeddyurappa government braces for a crucial floor test in the Karnataka Assembly on Saturday, here is a possible line up of events:
* MLAs will reach the Assembly by 11 am: Congress and JD(S) MLAs may begin their journey tonight (Friday) from Hyderabad if they cannot confirm a flight for tomorrow.
* Pro-tem Speaker K G Bopaiah will administer the oath for elected members.
* Normally, the Pro-tem Speaker oversees the election of the Speaker before any floor test. But in this case, the Supreme Court has insisted that the Pro-tem Speaker should conduct the test.
* In case of a tie, the Speaker's vote will decide the fate of the Yeddyurappa government.
* At present, the Congress claims to have 78 members, JD(S) 38 (37 in effect as Kumaraswamy won from two seats) and the BJP 104.
* One independent member is claimed to be with the BJP and the other with the Congress as of now.
* The case of two "missing" Congress MLAs is doubtful. Even if they vote for the BJP, but the rest of the JD(S)-Congress MLAs are secure, then the BJP government will fall.
* If they refrain from voting, the majority mark will be 111 instead of 113. The aim of the BJP would be to block as many Congress-JD(S) MLAs from attending the session.
* If Yeddyurappa wins the floor test, the members will elect the Speaker.
* Otherwise, the governor may invite Kumaraswamy to form the government.
* Then, Kumaraswamy will have to take a floor test to prove his majority.
* However, there are chances of imposing President's Rule.
* Interestingly, in 2017, the Chief Justice of the Uttarakhand High Court Justice K M Joseph cancelled the central government order imposing President's Rule in the then Congress-ruled state.
