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Gold in tight range as investors wary of steep Fed rate hikes

Offering some respite to gold, the US dollar pulled back slightly from its highest since July 28
Last Updated : 08 August 2022, 11:05 IST
Last Updated : 08 August 2022, 11:05 IST

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Gold prices were stuck in a range on Monday, with gains curbed by fears over big rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, while investors stayed on the sidelines awaiting US inflation data later this week. Spot gold steadied at $1,773.82 per ounce by 0900 GMT, after dropping 1 per cent in the previous session.

US gold futures fell 0.1 per cent to $1,789.40. The main factor against further recoveries in gold is related to the growing pressure that the Fed could adopt an aggressive stance after the solid US labour data, said Carlo Alberto De Casa, external analyst for Kinesis Money. But, investors are slightly recalibrating their position after the dollar rally on Friday, and "maybe they are still thinking that the peak of inflation is not too far and the pressure on the Fed could slow down," he added.

Traders currently see a 73.5 per cent probability the Fed continues the pace of 75-basis-point rate hikes for its next policy decision on September 21 to tame soaring inflation after US job growth unexpectedly accelerated in July. The focus of market participants now shifts to the US consumer price index report due on Wednesday that could offer more clues on the Fed's rate hike path.

Analysts polled by Reuters expect annual inflation eased to 8.7 per cent in July from 9.1 per cent previously. Higher US interest rates raise the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. Another hotter-than-expected CPI print should force bullion bulls to reckon with a Fed that has to persist with more supersized rate hikes over the coming months, and such a narrative should prompt spot gold to unwind more of its recent gains, said Han Tan, chief market analyst at Exinity.

Offering some respite to gold, the US dollar pulled back slightly from its highest since July 28. Spot silver rose 0.6 per cent to $20.00 per ounce, while platinum fell 0.4 per cent to $928.20. Palladium rose 1.4 per cent to $2,154.97.

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Published 08 August 2022, 07:23 IST

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