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Explained | How does France's election work and what happens if nobody wins a majority?

Here are some facts about the election and what comes next.
Last Updated : 06 July 2024, 17:11 IST

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WHAT TO WATCH?

One key question is whether voters will back the anti-RN candidate in their constituency, or if they choose to abstain or back the far right despite their preferred candidate's recommendations to the contrary.

The RN and its allies will need to win 289 seats to secure an absolute majority and be able to implement their anti-immigration, eurosceptic agenda. The party has said its chairman, Jordan Bardella, would be its candidate for prime minister. In this scenario, Macron's prime minister, Gabriel Attal, would resign immediately.

Macron would name a new prime minister who would then be tasked with forming a government. Macron would have the right to veto a nomination if he deemed the person unfit for the role. The RN has nuanced its stance on what it would do if it finished just shy of an absolute majority. Bardella had said he would not lead an unstable minority government, but the RN's Marine Le Pen has opened the door to courting other lawmakers if it is only lacking a small number of seats.

WHAT IF THE OUTCOME IS A HUNG PARLIAMENT?

Attal has said the mainstream right, left and centrist parties could form ad hoc alliances to vote through individual pieces of legislation in the new parliament, rather than try to put together a coalition government.

On the left, however, some have touted the idea of forming a ruling coalition. Unlike Germany and many other European countries, France has never had a broad coalition government in its modern political history. Either scenario would be likely to bring political uncertainty and slow down reforms.

WHAT HAPPENS IF THERE IS NO DEAL?

It is possible that none of the three groups - the far right, Macron's centrist alliance or the left - will be big enough to govern alone, reach a coalition deal or provide the assurance it can run a viable minority government. In such a case, France would risk political paralysis, with little or no legislation being adopted and a caretaker government running basic daily affairs.

COULD MACRON RESIGN?

Macron has hitherto ruled this out, but it might become more appealing to him if policy paralysis prevails. Neither parliament nor the government can force a president to resign.

WHAT WON'T HAPPEN UNDER ANY SCENARIO?

The constitution says there can be no new parliamentary election for another year, so an immediate repeat vote is not an option.

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Published 06 July 2024, 17:11 IST

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