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US, global stocks fall after IMF cuts economic forecast

Investors still expect the Fed to raise its overnight rate by three-quarters of a percentage point next month
Last Updated : 11 October 2022, 15:57 IST
Last Updated : 11 October 2022, 15:57 IST

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Stocks fell in morning trading on Wall Street Tuesday as global fears about a looming recession were stoked by dour forecast from the International Monetary Fund.

The S&P 500 fell 1 per cent as of 10:16 am Eastern. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 57 points, or 0.2 per cent, to 29,143 and the Nasdaq fell 1.4 per cent.

Technology stocks were the biggest weights on the market. Chipmakers continued slipping in the wake of the U.S. government's decision to tighten export controls on semiconductors and chip manufacturing equipment to China. Intel fell 1.3 per cent.

Markets in Europe and Asia slipped.

Uber fell 12.7 per cent and Lyft slumped 12.6 per cent after the Department of Labor published a proposal on how workers should be classified, which could change the status of the ride-hailing companies' workers.

Household good makers and utilities held up better than the rest of the market as investors shifted more money into the sectors, which are considered less risky.

Bond yields were mixed.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury, which influences mortgage rates, rose to 3.95 per cent from 3.88 per cent late Friday.

The yield on the 2-year Treasury, which follows Federal Reserve action, fell to 4.27 per cent from 4.30 per cent late Friday. Bond markets were closed on Monday for a holiday.

Recession fears have been weighing heavily on markets as stubbornly hot inflation burns businesses and consumers.

US stocks are coming off of four straight losses. Economic growth has been slowing as consumers temper spending and the central banks globally raise interest rates.

Wall Street is closely watching the Federal Reserve as it continues to aggressively raise its benchmark interest rate to make borrowing more expensive and slow economic growth.

The goal is to cool inflation, but the strategy carries the risk of slowing the economy too much and pushing it into a recession.

The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday cut its forecast for global economic growth in 2023 to 2.7 per cent, down from the 2.9 per cent it had estimated in July. The cut comes as Europe faces a particularly high risk of a recession with energy costs soaring amid Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

Investors have a busy week ahead of economic and corporate earnings reports that could provide a clearer picture of inflation's impact, while also raising questions about whether the Fed should continue with its aggressive rate hikes.

Investors still expect the Fed to raise its overnight rate by three-quarters of a percentage point next month.

It would be the fourth such increase, which is triple the usual amount, and bring the rate up to a range of 3.75 per cent to 4 per cent. It started the year at virtually zero.

The Fed will release minutes from its last meeting on Wednesday, possibly giving Wall Street more insight into its views on inflation and next steps. The government will also release its report on wholesale prices, which will help provide more details on how inflation is hitting businesses.

The closely watched report on consumer prices will be released on Thursday and a report on retail sales is due Friday.

The latest round of corporate earnings will ramp up this week with reports from PepsiCo, Delta Air Lines and Domino's Pizza. Banks, including Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase, will also report results.

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Published 11 October 2022, 15:57 IST

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